2025 RBC Canadian Open betting tips: Who I’m backing at TPC Toronto

Tom Jacobs picks out his top RBC Canadian Open betting tips ahead of the PGA Tour event.

Only the Open Championship and the imminent US Open date back further than the Canadian Open, meaning that whoever lifts the trophy come Sunday afternoon will be securing themselves a chapter in one of golf’s most historic stories.

Last time around, that man was Scotland’s Robert MacIntyre, securing his maiden PGA Tour title alongside his step-in caddie for the week – dad Dougie, who took a sabbatical from his greenkeeping gig in Oban to guide his son home to a one-shot victory over Ben Griffin.

The tournament is one of the few on the PGA Tour that moves about each year, with 2025 seeing TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley host the RBC Canadian Open for the first time. The event also marks Rory McIlroy’s return to the PGA Tour for a first outing since his T47 finish at the PGA Championship. With red-hot Scottie Scheffler absent this week, McIlroy goes off as the favorite to take a third Canadian Open title.

Before diving into my RBC Canadian Open betting tips for the week, here’s everything else you need to know…

RBC Canadian Open key details

Venue: TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley – North Course (Par 70 – 6,966 yards)

Format: 72-hole strokeplay with 36-hole cut

Purse: $9.8 million

FedEx Cup points: 500

Favorite: Rory McIlroy 9/2

Defending champion: Robert MacIntyre (SCO), -16

Most wins: Leo Diegel (USA), 4

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How to watch the RBC Canadian Open

US viewers can catch all the action on the Golf Channel.

All times EDT

Thursday, June 05: The Golf Channel, 15.00
Friday, June 06: The Golf Channel, 15.00
Saturday, June 07: The Golf Channel, 13.00
Sunday, June 08: The Golf Channel, 13.00

UK viewers can catch all the action on Sky Sports Golf.

All times BST

Thursday, June 05: Sky Sports Golf, 20.00
Friday, June 06: Sky Sports Golf, 20.00
Saturday, June 07: Sky Sports Golf, 18.00
Sunday, June 08: Sky Sports Golf, 18.00

RBC Canadian Open tee times

Tee times and groupings can be found here.

RBC Canadian Open betting tips

The Banker: Sam Burns 28/1 e/w (Bet365 8 Places)

Sam Burns is trending towards a win, and now returns to Canada with 4th and 10th place finishes either side of a missed cut, over the past three years.

Burns’ ball-striking numbers won’t necessarily jump off the page, which helps keep him at a reasonable price, but we know he can be streaky with his iron play, and he put in a couple of good rounds in that department last week. He also led the field in tee to green on the Friday in what was the round of the day.

When 4th in this event three years ago, he closed with two rounds of 65 to keep the pressure on and last year he started fast with a 63 in round 1 to sit 2nd, before a disappointing Friday left him work to do over the weekend.

He enjoys coming to this event, and it’s notable that he plays it the week before the U.S. Open each year now. While others will be tuning up for next week at Oakmont, Burns knows he needs to take each event as it comes, as he looks for his first win in over two years.

2024 was the first year since 2021 where Burns didn’t record at least one victory, and he looks to be working his way to putting that right in 2025, which is important in a Ryder Cup year.

The U.S. Team could do with the likes of Burns finding form ahead of this year’s Ryder Cup at Bethpage, and a win here is a big step in the right direction.

Looking at his current form, Burns finished12th last week when 5th at halfway, 19th at the PGA Championship, 30th at the Truist Championship when 6th after 54 holes, 5th at the CJ Cup Byron Nelson, and 13th at the Heritage. That’s four top 20s in his last five starts for those counting at home, and while we are banking on a better ball-striking week from start to finish for Burns, I think the odds are generous enough.

The Outsider: Taylor Pendrith 33/1 e/w (Sky Bet, Paddy Power 6 Places)

His past form in the event suggests that the pressure of being a home favourite gets to Taylor Pendrith at the RBC Canadian Open, but I am banking on this week being different.

First of all, this is just the second time he will play the Canadian Open as a PGA Tour winner. Winning for the first time relieves all sorts of pressure, and it could certainly free up Pendrith to play well in this event for the first time, especially considering his current run of form. When playing this event 12 months ago as a newly-minted PGA Tour winner, he produced his career-best in the event (T21).

So far in 2025, Pendrith has posted six top-13 finishes, including last week at The Memorial. His best efforts came when he finished 5th at both the Houston Open and the PGA Championship, and we should certainly upgrade his form for the latter.

He led the field in Approach and ranked 2nd in Tee to Green last week, which is mightily impressive in a tournament won by Scottie Scheffler and that is a big reason why I like him for this event. His putting him was all that let him down last week, and while he will need to overcome his issues on the greens to win here, he has shown in 4 of his last 8 events that he can putt nicely when the course suits.

We are at TPC Toronto this week, a new course to most of the field, but Pendrith has plenty of experience playing here, in practice, with friends and family, and notably in a PGA Tour of Canada event back in 2019. His 2nd place finish at the Osprey Valley Open in 2019 should be treated as a bonus rather than anything else, but it’s a nice addition to a strong run of current form.

An improving player in a relatively weak field, I think Pendrith can become the latest Canadian to win his home event, emulating Nick Taylor’s 2023 success.

The Longshot: Ryan Fox 80/1 e/w (BetVictor 5 Places)

In a field that offers very limited value betting-wise, I was surprised to see Ryan Fox available at these odds.

He has just broken through for his first win on the PGA Tour, and while it came in an opposite-field event, the Myrtle Beach Classic, it will still give him the confidence and, more importantly, the security he needs to succeed on the PGA Tour for the next couple of years.

Since his win, he has finished 28th at the PGA Championship, where he was 4th after round 1 and 7th after round 2, and then 20th last week at The Memorial. Given how well Fox is hitting the ball of late, I struggle to look past him in this level of field.

Last week, Fox ranked 12th in SG Approach and 19th in SG Tee to Green and that was the third straight event he had ranked inside the top 20 for the latter. This level of consistency in his play should certainly continue to yield results, and this is an event he enjoyed last year, albeit at a different course.

12 months ago, Fox finished 7th in his event, having held a share of the 36-hole lead with eventual winner, and former DP World Tour alumnus, Robert MacIntyre.

If the conditions are benign, this is going to be an event where scoring can get low, and Fox excels in that situation, with all four of his strokeplay wins across the DP World Tour and PGA Tour coming when the winning score has been -15 or lower.