2025 Memorial Tournament betting tips: My top picks for Muirfield Village
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Tom Jacobs picks out his top Memorial Tournament betting tips ahead of the PGA Tour Signature event from Dublin, Ohio.
The 2025 PGA Tour season is rattling through its schedule, reaching its penultimate Signature event just two weeks before the third major of the year – the US Open at Oakmont.
Founded and hosted by 18-time major winner Jack Nicklaus, the Memorial Tournament is conducted each year with three primary goals: honoring the memory of individuals living and deceased who have distinguished themselves in the game of golf, showcasing the world’s best golfers on one of the game’s most challenging venues, and benefiting many Greater Columbus Charities and numerous other local organizations.
Last year, Scottie Scheffler continued his red-hot winning streak to pick up his fifth win of the season, edging out Collin Morikawa by a shot to claim the $4 million winner’s cheque. The recently crowned three-time major champion will begin as the favorite to defend his title in a stacked field.
But before diving into my betting tips for the week, here’s everything else you need to know…
Memorial Tournament key details
Venue: Muirfield Village Golf Club in Dublin, Ohio (Par 72 – 7,352 yards)
Format: 72-hole strokeplay with 36-hole cut
Purse: $20 million with the winner receiving $4m
FedEx Cup points: 700
Favorite: Scottie Scheffler 3/1
Defending champion: Scottie Scheffler (USA), -8
Most wins: Tiger Woods (USA), 5
How to watch the Memorial Tournament
US viewers can catch all the action on the Golf Channel.
All times EDT
Thursday, May 29: The Golf Channel, 14.00
Friday, May 30: The Golf Channel, 14.00
Saturday, May 31: The Golf Channel, 14.00
Sunday, June 01: The Golf Channel, 14.00
UK viewers can catch all the action on Sky Sports Golf.
All times BST
Thursday, May 29: Sky Sports Golf, 19.00
Friday, May 30: Sky Sports Golf, 19.00
Saturday, May 31: Sky Sports Golf, 19.00
Sunday, June 01: Sky Sports Golf, 18.00
Memorial Tournament tee times
Tee times and groupings can be found here.
Memorial Tournament betting tips
The Banker: Sepp Straka 40/1 e/w (Sky Bet 6 Places)
Sepp Straka’s stature in the game has improved drastically in the past few years, having first broken through on the PGA Tour in 2022 and adding three more titles since.
His first two wins at the Honda Classic and the John Deere Classic came in lower quality fields, and came when he was 5 shots and 4 shots back respectively, going into the final round. What he’s added in 2025, is the ability to win in bigger fields, and when under the gun.
Now that Straka has multiple wins on the PGA Tour, there is a level of expectation when he gets in contention, and he’s dealing with that pretty well. When he held a 4-shot lead going into Sunday at the American Express, he won, shooting a final round 70 to win by 2. He could have pushed on a bit more, but he always looked like the winner. At the Truist Championship, he co-led after 54 holes with Shane Lowry, and while the 2-shot victory is a little generous given Lowry’s antics on the 72nd hole, he once again edged out a quality opponent.
Among his four victories, he’s beaten Shane Lowry twice (2022 Honda, 2025 Truist) and this season, he has been a thorn in Justin Thomas’ side, having beaten him at both the American Express and the Truist Championship, some very strong scalps to have on his CV regularly.
With this in mind, I think he’s now much better positioned to lead a field of this quality at The Memorial Tournament, where he was in 2nd place going into the final round 12 months ago, but couldn’t close the gap on Scottie Scheffler, who he trailed by 4 shots. In fact, he went the other way, shooting a final round 76. In the end, he only finished 6 shots adrift, despite that poor final round, and it was certainly a case of “what could have been” for the Austrian, who finished in 5th place in the end. Clearly he tried too hard to put the pressure on the World No.1 on Sunday, and this is not necessarily the sort of course where you can get too aggressive. This time, if he can find himself within a shot or two of the Sunday lead, or even be out in front going into Sunday, I think he can cope better with it, given the two wins he’s added since his last appearance here.
Straka has missed the cut in the first two majors of the year, but he’s also added two wins and seven more solo top 15 finishes, eight if you include the Zurich Classic. Considering he’s finished 14th, 16th, and 5th here in the past among some other average results, and he’s now versed in the art of beating major champions, I think he’s chances have to be respected, which I don’t think they truly are at 40/1.
He’s priced like a player who no one believes can win three times in a season, something he threatened to do in 2022, when he won the Honda Classic, and then lost two playoffs later on in the year. He also finished one shot outside of the playoff contested by Jordan Spieth and Patrick Cantlay at the RBC Heritage that year, so had three more realistic chances of winning, so three wins this year doesn’t feel all that unrealistic to me.
Accuracy is rewarded here at Jack’s Place, and you don’t need to be a huge driver to compete, which also plays into Straka’s hands, given he ranks 1st in Greens in Regulation, 3rd in SG Approach, 9th in SG Tee to Green, 11th in Driving Accuracy, but a lowly 138th in Driving Distance. While his distance has hardly hampered him in recent years, it does put pressure on at bigger courses, but Muirfield Village allows him to play his natural game and, most importantly, take advantage of the Par 5s. Despite a lack of distance, Straka ranks 2nd in both Par 5 Performance (93-under-par in 2025) and Par 5 Scoring Average (4.45), and 6th in Par 5 Birdie or Better Percentage (55.88%), making him the perfect candidate to care of the long holes here, something that helped Jon Rahm and Billy Horschel win here in recent years, and a host of other players contend.
All in all, I like the chances of a player who’s won twice this season, but is still priced like a longshot, off the back of a missed cut at a major.
*Some may prefer to bet on Sepp Straka at 33/1 in the “Without Scottie Scheffler” Market, which pays 5 each way places at ¼ odds. I recommend splitting stakes on both.
The Outsider: Matt Fitzpatrick 50/1 e/w (Sky Bet 6 Places)
From a player that’s won twice this season, to a player who has struggled for the best part of a year, Matt Fitzpatrick would be nowhere near my betting card before the PGA Championship, but now I am intrigued again.
Fitzpatrick’s 8th-place finish at the PGA Championship was his first top 10 since finishing T5 here 12 months ago, but recent signs suggest he’s ready to go on a bit of a run again, and the stats back it up.
The 2022 U.S. Open winner had been really struggling with his irons since contending here last year, but he’s now gained strokes on Approach in four straight events, three if you exclude the Zurich Classic he played alongside his brother. That’s a huge switch in form, and an eye-catching one, having ranked 12th, 31st, and 5th in those three solo events with his Approach play. Better still, he’s been great all-around, ranking 6th, 10th, and 12th in SG Tee to Green in that short span. His driver hasn’t been as good as we would like, and that’s why there is still a small level of concern, but I think that’s been factored in at the price.
At 50/1 we are getting a major winner, who has just put in a really good performance at the PGA Championship, who returns to a golf course where he has three top 9 finishes, and is finally showing positive signs with his iron play. We should stand up and take notice.
While Fitzpatrick has generally backdoored his way to top 10 finishes here in the past, I do think this is an opportunity for him to start fast and stay there as he did last time out at Quail Hollow, and I like his odds of doing so.
*Some may prefer to bet on Matt Fitzpatrick at 40/1 in the “Without Scottie Scheffler” Market, which pays 5 each way places at ¼ odds. I recommend splitting stakes on both.
The Longshot: J.J. Spaun 66/1 e/w (Sky Bet 6 Places)
J.J. Spaun has never come into this event in particularly good form, but this time around he arrives off the back of a 6th place finish at the Charles Schwab Challenge, his fourth top-6 finish of the season.
He’s played this event three times, in 2018, 2019, and 2022, missing his first two cuts, before finishing 30th two years ago. He also finished 52nd in the Workday Charity Open. When he missed the cut here in 2018, he had finished 3rd at the Bryon Nelson two starts before, but he had missed the cut in his two starts before that and the week in between his 3rd at the Nelson and his missed cut here. His strong effort at the Nelson was an anomaly that year; this time, his 6th at the Charles Schwab is a continuation of a great season.
When he missed the cut here in 2018, he hit his irons beautifully for two rounds and was hamstrung by a terrible putter, and that was the case a year later as well. Two years ago, when finishing 30th, he gained in Approach, Around the Green, and Off the Tee, and once again couldn’t take a leap forward due to a poor putter. There is every chance then, that the putter will hold him back again this week, on a course where he so far hasn’t liked the greens, but considering he’s on a run of four straight events gaining strokes on the green, I am going to take a shot that he finds something this time around.
His lack of course form is why you can get a price on him this week, but when looking deeper, we can see that his form hasn’t been great coming in each time, and it’s a small sample size given his limited number of starts. The only time he’s pegged it up here as a PGA Tour winner, he finished 30th and was in 14th place going into Sunday, and he’s bolstered his CV again since then, not with a win, but with three more top 3s this season, the best of them a playoff loss to Rory McIlroy at The Players.
Spaun is hitting his irons solidly and ranked 3rd in SG Tee to Green last week, so he’s ready for his best run yet, here at Muirfield Village.
*Some may prefer to bet on J.J. Spaun at 55/1 in the “Without Scottie Scheffler” Market, which pays 5 each way places at ¼ odds. I recommend splitting stakes on both.
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2025 Memorial Tournament betting tips from Today's Golfer.
