2025 Turkish Airlines Open betting tips: Who I’m backing in Antalya
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Tom Jacobs picks out his top Turkish Airlines Open betting tips for the DP World Tour event.
The Turkish Airlines Open makes a welcome return to the DP World Tour schedule this week after a six-year hiatus, kickstarting the circuit’s European Swing.
England’s Tyrrell Hatton was the last man to lift the trophy back in 2019, coming through a six-way playoff to claim the $2m winner’s cheque.
Before we get into my Turkish Airlines Open betting tips for the week, here’s everything else you need to know…
Turkish Airlines Open key details
Venue: Regnum Carya Resort, Antalya, Turkey (Par 71 – 7,220 yards)
Format: 72-hole strokeplay with 36-hole cut
Purse: $2.75 million
Race to Dubai / Ryder Cup points: 3,500 / 1,000
Favorites: Hao Tong Li 14/1, Jordan Smith 16/1
Defending champion: Tyrell Hatton (ENG), -20 (playoff)
Most wins: Victor Dubuisson (FRA), Justin Rose (ENG); 2
How to watch the Turkish Airlines Open
US viewers can catch all the action on the Golf Channel.
All times EDT
Thursday, May 08: The Golf Channel, 06.30
Friday, May 09: The Golf Channel, 06.30
Saturday, May 10: The Golf Channel, 06.30
Sunday, May 11: The Golf Channel, 06.00
UK viewers can catch all the action on Sky Sports Golf.
All times BST
Thursday, May 08: Sky Sports Golf, 11.00
Friday, May 09: Sky Sports Golf, 11.00
Saturday, May 10: Sky Sports Golf, 11.30
Sunday, May 11: Sky Sports Golf, 11.00
Turkish Airlines Open tee times
Tee times and groupings can be found here.
Turkish Airlines Open betting tips
The Banker: Haotong Li 14/1 e/w (Paddy Power 7 Places)
This won’t happen too often, but I am backing the favourite on the DP World Tour this week, and that is because Haotong Li’s credentials are far too good to ignore.
Firstly, Li has played this course three times, and on two occasions has finished 2nd. He was beaten by Thorbjorn Olesen in 2016, and two years later lost out to Justin Rose in a playoff. Olesen is one of the better players in recent DP World Tour history, and Justin Rose is a former world No.1, is a major winner and crucially had won on the course the year before. It’s taken two of the most talented players who would have teed it up in each start to beat Li, and this time it is Li who is the leading option.
Since winning the Qatar Masters, Li has twice finished inside the top 10, finishing 9th in Singapore and 4th two starts ago in his home open, where he led at the 36-hole and 54-hole stage.
This run of form has been built on incredible iron play, as he has ranked inside the top 6 for Approach in 5 of his last 8 starts, and inside the top 8 in SG Tee to Green on four of those occasions.
Very few in this field are playing better golf than Li, and he returns with better course form and knowledge than almost everyone, so even at 14/1 I have to make him a bet this week.
The Outsider: Adrien Saddier 35/1 e/w (Paddy Power 7 Places)
Adrien Saddier’s form is too good to ignore, as he has finished 7th-WD-19th-3rd-5th in his last five starts. The WD clearly didn’t harm him, with two top 5s in back-to-back starts since, and should be fully fit after another 5-week break.
The only concern is that enough time has passed since this hot run, that his form could dip, but at the price, I think we should take a shot that it continues here.
Saddier doesn’t have the course form the others have to lean on, having not played here back in the day, but his iron play has been solid and he has ranked 12th or better in SG Tee to Green in his past four starts, so he’s overall game is in a spot to contend.
A winner on the Challenge Tour back in 2016, Saddier is still looking for a breakthrough win at the top level, but he’s certainly playing well enough to find that this season, especially with the overall depth of the tour continually hurt by those who have captured PGA Tour cards over the past two seasons.
As the most in-form player before a mini break, Saddier has earned the right to be backed this week, until he finally wins, or his form drops off, as we should expect it to at some point in the near future.
The Longshot: Adrian Otaegui 60/1 e/w (Paddy Power 7 Places)
Adrian Otaegui enjoyed a decent fortnight in China, where he finished 26th and 11th, making it three top 26 finishes in his last four starts.
It hasn’t been plain sailing for the Spaniard this season, but as a five-time DP World Tour winner, who has been particularly impressive when in the hunt over the past four years, we should certainly take a second look when there’s been a sharp upturn in form.
That is the case coming into this week, and particularly encouraging is his course form, as he’s finished 13th and 3rd in his two best starts here. When 13th in 2016, he was 2nd at the halfway stage thanks to a Friday 63 and was still 9th going into Sunday. Two years later, he played even better, with a pair of 65s launching him into the top 3.
We have seen with the likes of Justin Rose (Two Wins), Haotong Li (Two 2nds) and even Nicolas Colsaerts (2nd and 14th) that previous course form is a strong indicator of future success here, and Otaegui is another who can benefit from that, despite the 8-year gap between starts at this course.
25th and 7th in SG Approach and 22nd in both of those last two starts in SG Tee to Green, Otaegui’s game is in fine shape, and he looks overpriced at a course he enjoys.
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2025 Turkish Airlines Open betting tips from Today's Golfer.
